Impacts of climate change on agriculture and policy options for adaptation

Author(s):
Yu, Bingxin Zhu, Tingju Breisinger, Clemens Hai, Nguyen Manh
Year:
2010
Publisher:
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Pages:
32
Abstract

Vietnam is likely to be among the countries hardest hit by climate change, mainly through rising sea levels and changes in rainfall and temperatures. Agriculture can be extensively affected by climate change, and designing effective adaptation strategies will be critical for maintaining food security, rural employment, and foreign exchange earnings. This paper examines these critical issues and thereby makes two contributions to the literature.

Moving Forward: Southeast Asian Perspectives on Climate Change and Biodiversity

Author(s):
18 authors from all over Southeast Asia. Edited by Percy E. Sajise, Mariliza V. Ticsay and Gil C. Saguiguit, Jr.
Year:
2010
City:
Manila
Publisher:
SEARCA

Climate change is a global phenomenon that is being experienced by all levels of society, regardless of race and species, and in all types of ecosystems, regardless of geographic location. It will have diverse effects on biodiversity, which will directly impact on food security, water supply and livelihood among others, especially for the poor and more vulnerable sectors of human society.

Cambodia Climatology Temperature Means

The images and data featured below show the temperature means in Cambodia by month. The scales for the temperature maps are the same for all months. The images were created by Dr. Michael J. Puma, Associate Research Scientist at Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

The data used to create the images were downloaded from WorldClim - Zone 29 and are based on the methodology described in: Hijmans, R.J., S.E. Cameron, J.L. Parra, P.G. Jones and A. Jarvis, 2005.

Cambodia Climatology Precipitation Means

The images and data featured below show the precipitation means in Cambodia by month. The images were created by Dr. Michael J. Puma, Associate Research Scientist at Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

The data used to create the images were downloaded from WorldClim - Zone 29 and are based on the methodology described in: Hijmans, R.J., S.E. Cameron, J.L. Parra, P.G. Jones and A. Jarvis, 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas.

Cambodia Climatology (~1950 to 2000)

The images and data featured below were downloaded from WorldClim - Zone 29 and are based on the methodology described in: Hijmans, R.J., S.E. Cameron, J.L. Parra, P.G. Jones and A. Jarvis, 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1965-1978.

A detailed methodology is presented in the above paper. Hijmans et al. (2005) generated the data through interpolation of average monthly climate data from weather stations on a 30 arc-second resolution grid.

Connecting Environmental Changes, Impacts and Responses in the Mekong Delta to Human Wellbeing and Ecosystem Integrity

Project Details
Implementing Agency and Partnering Organizations:
United Nations University
Funding Source:
Information not available
Cofinancing Total:
Information not available
Financing Amount:
Information not available
Total Amounts:
Information not available
Project Status:
Under implementation
Project Components:

This United Nations University (UNU) multi-partner initiative will undertake a trans-disciplinary analysis of threats to human health and well-being and ecosystem integrity caused by climate change and responding large-scale changes in the Mekong Delta. Assessment tools will be developed to evaluate the chain of events from environmental change to impacts on human well-being and ecosystem health.

Successful adaptation to climate change, environmental change and its associated, interlinked impacts on human health and ecosystem integrity is vital for the well-being of the large populations of people inhabiting Asia’s mega-deltas.

The United Nations University has identified the Mekong Delta as a region highly suited for the propagation of meaningful and responsive adaptation efforts. The project area is focused on the Delta region of the Mekong, shared by Cambodia and Vietnam, while also closely linked to activities and pressures on the of the entire basin.

Contacts:

United Nations University
Institute for Water, Environment & Health
(UNU-INWEH)
175 Longwood Road South, Suite 204,
Hamilton Ontario L8P 0A1 CANADA
Phone: 1-905-667-5511
Fax: 1-905-667-5510
E-mail: contact@inweh.unu.edu

Water-related Information System for the Sustainable Development of the Mekong Delta in Vietnam (WISDOM)

Project Details
Implementing Agency and Partnering Organizations:
DLR-DFD, UNU-EHS, University of Bonn (INRES), ZEF, University of Karlsruhe , EOMAP, DHI Germany , 2wcom, SIWRR, Sub-NIAPP, SRHMC, DITAGIS, University of Can Tho, GIRS-VAST, SISS
Funding Source:
Information not available
Cofinancing Total:
Information not available
Financing Amount:
Information not available
Total Amounts:
Information not available
Project Status:
Under implementation
Project Components:

The Water-related Information System for the Sustainable Development of the Mekong Delta, WISDOM is a multidisciplinary project of German-Vietnamese Initiative. Its main objective is to develop and implement a platform for the collection, exchange and processing of water related information; this platform will also provide operational services in the fields of disaster prevention and mitigation and integrated water resources management in the project region.

Expected Outputs:

The design of the system puts the focus on the constant integration of available and newly generated data from all different disciplines. This enables user-oriented analyses and custom designed querying to develop sustainable solutions in the field of resource management. Possible applications of the system are:

  • Monitoring of floods and droughts;
  • Evaluation of flood and drought risk, damage potential and actual damages;
  • Analyses of water quality, pollution and sediment load;
  • The improvement of flood prediction via remotely sensed precipitation information;
  • Detailed adaptation of surface and sub-surface discharge models;
  • Information of landcover- and landuse changes;
  • Observation of settlement development, surface sealing and population growth.

The Mekong Delta in Vietnam offers natural resources for several million inhabitants. However, a strong population increase, changing climatic conditions and regulatory measures at the upper reaches of the Mekong lead to severe changes in the Delta. Therefore, decision makers, planners and local authorities have to face new challenges. Extreme flood events occur more frequently, drinking water availability is increasingly limited, soils show signs of salinization or acidification, species and complete habitats diminish. All these problems call for an optimized, integrated resource management.

Primary Beneficiaries:
Mekong Delta inhabitants
Contacts:

Nguyen Quy Hanh
Center for Development Research (ZEF) / University of Bonn
E-mail: hanh.nguyen@uni-bonn.de
Phone: +49 0228 73 4962

Strengthening the Philippines’ Institutional Capacity to Adapt to Climate Change

GEF Project
GEF Project:
No
Project Components:

Climate change is threatening to hamper the Philippines’ attainment of the MDGs because of the country’s limited capacity to undertake climate risk based planning and project implementation. This programme seeks to address this constraint by: 1) mainstreaming climate risk reduction into key national & local development planning & regulatory processes; 2) enhancing capacities of key national agencies, 43 local governments, academe and communities to undertake climate resilient development, and 3) testing 6 integrated adaptation approaches with upscaling potential.

Expected Outputs:

The joint programme aims to achieve three outcomes in the areas of policy, planning and programming; capacity development of concerned national government institutions and local governments and local higher educational institutions; and capacity development of communities to develop demonstrable climate change adaptation measures. Specifically, the outcomes and the required outputs to attain them are as follows:

Outcome 1. Climate risk reduction (CRR) mainstreamed into key national & selected local development plans & processes. Since adaptation is a new way of doing things by responding to new factors and realities like climate change, significant impact can be obtained by influencing processes which determine the shape & direction of future development like the country’s land use/development/investment planning & programming, as well as, key regulatory processes like the environmental impact assessment (EIA) system.
1.1 Baseline risk scenario and CRR/adaptation monitoring system developed for priority sectors (water, agriculture, coastal, forestry, health).
1.2 Adaptation options for key sectors assessed, valued & prioritized, including “no regrets” options.
1.3 Vulnerability maps for 43 provinces plus other priority areas (e.g. Sultan Kudarat, Cotabato, Maguindanao containing the Liguasan Marsh).
1.4 Entry points for CRR in key national plans/planning & regulatory (e.g. EIA) processes identified and CRR compendium of adaptation best practices recommended for integration.
1.5 CRR mainstreaming guidelines adopted by key national government agencies (NGAs) and selected local governments.
1.6 43 local comprehensive land use/development plans reflect CRR measures.
1.7 Web-based screening tool & portal for project developers/designers.

Outcome 2. Enhanced national and local capacity to develop, manage and administer projects addressing climate change risks. This outcome involves enhancing the capacities of the relevant NGAs to support national and local endeavors in the critical sectors which would be affected by climate change like agriculture, water, ENR, coastal and health, through better and more effective forecasting and improved provision of technical support. It also involves enhancing the capacities of local governments to help the communities they serve in improving climate dependent services, as well as, strengthening the academe’s capacity to assist local authorities in providing a more sustainable technical support base for the climate-related endeavors of communities.
2.1 Existing capacities and gaps of key NGAs (DOST-PAGASA, DENR, DA, NWRB, NEDA, DOH, etc.), selected LGUs (43 ++) and local higher educational institutions (HEIs) for CRR work assessed.
2.2 CRR capacity development programme focusing on policy & project implementation for stakeholders identified in 2.1 developed and implemented.
2.3 Awareness raised for key national & local stakeholders on climate change.

Outcome 3. Coping mechanisms improved through pilot adaptation projects. This outcome will further increase capacity of stakeholders through the learning by doing approach, testing innovative climate change adaptation measures and approaches.
3.1 Enhanced capacities to ensure sustainability through pilot projects demonstrating best practices to improve local coping mechanisms, including alternative livelihoods.

Total Amounts:
$8,620,000
Implementing Agency:
UNDP

The Philippines has always been subject to natural hazards like tropical cyclones, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, ranking highest globally in terms of deaths and third in terms of people exposed annually. An average of 20 cyclones traverse the country yearly causing annual property damage of PHP 13.4 billion or 0.4% of gross national product, especially in the 43 provinces in the eastern seaboard, also proposed to be the focus of this programme.

Project Status:
Under implementation
Partnering Organizations:
UNICEF, UNFPA, UN-Habitat, WHO, FAO, ILO
Funding Source:
Government of Spain
Financing Amount:
$8,000,000
Cofinancing Total:
$620,000
Contacts:

Maria Cecilia San
cecile.san@one.un.org

Soe Nyunt-U
nyuntus@who.org

Amelia Dulce Supetran
amelia.supetran@undp.org

Arcadio Cruz
al.cruz@fao.org

Training in the Concepts of Climate Change Impacts and Vulnerability and Use of SIMCLIM

Proceedings of the Training Conducted under the APN Project "Capacity Development on Integration of Science and Local Knowledge for Climate Change Impacts and Vulnerability Assessments" (CIA2009-02-Pulhin)
26-29 April 2010

Climate change impacts and vulnerability in the Philippines vary depending on the area’s geographic location, climate system (the country has four climatic classification), and socio‐economic condition. As such, while assessments at the national level give a picture of the overall impacts of climate change in the country, which may thereby result in enabling policies for appropriate plans and actions, responses on the risks and threats need to be area‐specific in order to effectively address the climate change related concerns. Furthermore, with the decentralization policy, the Philippine local government units, particularly at the provincial level, are at the forefront of actions for responding to climate change impacts and risks. It is therefore necessary to familiarise them on how to conduct climate change impacts and vulnerability assessment in their respective jurisdictions to enhance their preparedness strategies. A close collaboration among the scientists/researchers, local government units and the local communities, with the aid of a computer modeling system, is crucial to ensure a comprehensive assessment of the risks, threats and needs.

Climate simulation models are important for enhancing our understanding on past and present climate creating scenarios of future climate change, and examining risks attributed to predicted changes in climate. Results of climate model simulations are useful for improving plans and developing preparedness strategies that aid in increasing resilience on risks posed by the changing climate. This training will use SimCLIM as the climate modeling system for conducting an integrated assessment of the vulnerability to and impacts of climate change in the province of Albay.

Promoting climate resilient water management and agricultural practices in rural Cambodia

Summary:
The proposed project will increase adaptive capacity of key stakeholders in water resource management to address the impacts of climate change. The project has a particular focus on water resource needs of the agriculture sector. The project will identify, prioritize and drive needed policy reforms necessary to overcome constraints to the design, planning and implementation of technically and economically feasible measures on adaptation to climate change in the agricultural sector. Interventions supported by this project will focus on the needs of the poor agricultural communities that are most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The proposed project, which is based on the NAPA priority interventions, will build the capacity of selected local communities to adapt to changes in water and land resources resulting from climate change.

The proposed project is based on priority interventions outlined in the NAPA and focuses on climate change-resilient agricultural water management. The impacts of climate change on Cambodian agriculture, particularly on rice cultivation, are predicted to adversely affect food production and – security in rural areas. Various climate models depict different trends in annual precipitation, with some predicting substantial increases in total precipitation and some predicting a rise, followed by a fall.

Results and Learning:

The key stakeholders are people involved in water resource management in Cambodia and two contrasting agricultural districts: 1. Chi Kreng District in Siem Reap, which consists of 12 communes, 154 villages. The Chi Kreng District consists of 22,994 families with 127,032 people (64,807 women) of which 21,832 families are farmers. 2. The Bavel District in Battambang Province, which consists of 6 communes with a total of 18,842 families (95,847 people, of which 48,731 are women).

The project objective is to enhance adaptive capacity, at the national, institutional and local levels, to climate change–induced changes in water resources availability for the agricultural sector in Cambodia. As a contribution to this objective, the project goal is to enhance food security and food production in the face of changed climate conditions.

Part of this process will include improved capacity to conserve and manage fish stocks as an element of integrated rural livelihood development through integrated packages of small rural livelihood interventions.

Complementing this capacity development process, which will apply at the national level, the project will also build capacity of selected local communities to adapt to changes in water and land resources resulting from climate change to promote sustainable agricultural development.

Sustainability:

The project has strong government support at both central and local levels. The current Medium Term Strategy for Agriculture and Water (2006-2010)has identified five priority programs to implement: (i) Institutional capacity building and management support program for agriculture and water sector, (ii) Food security support program, (iii) Agriculture and agri-business (value-chain) support program, (iv) Water resource, irrigation and land management program, and (v) agricultural and water resources research, education and extension program. The project will contribute to the current programme 1 and 4 of the Medium Term Strategy for Agriculture and Water in amending the proposed activities of the programmes so as to incorporate measures to address the impacts of climate change and climate variaiblity. This will effectively mainstream climate change adaptation into national polcies and programmes for agriculture and water resources, thus ensuring sustainability. The Medium Term Strategy for Agriculture and Water recognises the impacts of climate change and variability in agriculture and water resource management and suggests to design measures to mitigate adverse impacts and gain benefit from positive ones (paragraph 40). Under programme 4, the Medium Term Strategy for Agriculture and Water suggests that country take appropriate steps to respond to climate change and variability.

Replication:

Outcome 3 of the project is entirely concerned with promoting in-country learning, up-scaling and replication. The project will establish conditions to facilitate learning of climate change adaptation measures, for example, by developing learning networks in association with several national NGOs, developing and delivering training modules for the new FWUC Service Centre, and awareness raising campaigns through various forms of media. The project also incorporates international replication measures through Outcome 3, which links to the GEF-supported Adaptation Learning Mechanism (ALM).